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Demand in the United States and Canada will
focus primarily on single-aisle jetliners. This
is driven by the need to replace aging airplanes
with new, more fuel-efficient airplanes. For the
purposes of the Boeing forecast, the North America
market consists of the U.S. and Canada. Mexico
is included in the forecast for Latin America.
"The North American commercial aviation
market improved for a second consecutive year
with passenger traffic growth at a modest 3 percent,"
said Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing,
Boeing Commercial Airplanes, who released Boeing's
2011 North America market outlook today in Montreal.
"The region's airline industry is poised
for long-term, moderate growth. Airlines are expected
to continue focusing on capacity discipline and
improving financial performance," a company
statement said Oct 4.
Boeing forecasts single-aisle airplanes will
grow to 73 percent of the total North America
fleet by 2030. A majority of this increased growth
in the single-aisle category is related to traffic
traveling to and from economically dynamic regions
in Central and South America. New single-aisle
airplanes, such as the Next-Generation 737 and
the recently launched 737 MAX, offer significant
advantages in improved capabilities, fuel efficiency
and maintenance costs, as well as enhanced environmental
performance.
Long-haul international traffic will continue
to grow at an average annual rate of approximately
4.5 percent. This growth is expected to result
in demand for an additional 1,180 new fuel-efficient,
twin-aisle airplanes such as the Boeing 787 Dreamliner.
Large airplanes (747-size and larger) will not
see significant demand in North America, with
only about 50 airplanes, or 1 percent of the total
investment.
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