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Offsets in Defence – A Bane or a Boon?

 

 
 
By Cmde S Govind Published: December 2011
 
 
 
 
   

Introduction: Every piece of literature written on defence offsets clearly brings out two contradictory conclusions – firstly that they are uneconomical and secondly that more and more countries are embracing this provision. So the question is what makes offsets so important that countries are compelled to adopt them?.

 

The origin of defence offsets may be attributed to the US Aircraft industry. The F-16 represents the quintessence of defence offset transactions as every country that procured the aircraft made efforts to develop its aircraft industry through one offset transaction or another. Today, while offsets are sought by developing nations to enhance their defence industry as well as R&D capabilities, developed nations are using offsets for promoting joint development projects to share the costs, work and risks as well.

So it seems that in the foreseeable future defence offsets are here to stay.

What are defence offsets?

According to the US Government, “Offsets in defence trade encompass a range of industrial compensation arrangements required by foreign governments as a condition of the purchase of defence articles and services from a non-domestic source.” Offsets encompass a whole range of activities from joint development, co-production, license production, sub-contracting, technology transfer, export assistance, credit assistance, overseas training, investment in R&D, counter trade etc.

Direct offsets are related to the system or equipment under procurement. Countries seek co-production or licensed production of the equipment depending on their industrial capability. The co-production of a hybrid version of F-16 in the form of F-2 (FSX) fighters by Japan as well as the licensed production of F-16 by Turkey exemplifies this route. Lesser industrialised countries require the seller to purchase sub-systems/ parts/ components from the buyer country for incorporating in the equipment under sale or establishing logistic and maintenance support systems. Malaysia’s demand for a high value of local content amounting to 60% as well as establishment of an extensive sub-contractor base as part of offsets in their procurement contracts of Armoured vehicles and Littoral Combat ship clearly demonstrates preference for this route.

Indirect offsets on the other hand are not related to the system/ equipment under procurement but could consist of any of the accepted activities in defence and/ or any other agreed sector. The establishment of a sugar processing complex in Saudi Arabia, oil facilities in the UAE and setting up of air traffic control colleges in Oman are examples of indirect offsets.

Offsets are driven by many reasons – to develop indigenous defence industry, leap frog technological backwardness, create job opportunities, enhance educational, scientific and research capabilities, promote SMEs and try to gain access to export markets. The predominant stated purpose is attaining self-reliance in defence but other underlying compulsions include overcoming sanctions or denial regimes in times of need, reduce dependence on foreign OEMs through in-house availability of spares and maintenance support.

Are Offsets good or bad?

The US government describes offsets as “economically inefficient and trade distorting” and does not encourage offsets. Transparency International – Defence against Corruption feels that “offsets are big business yet they are very opaque and receive much less transparency and attention than they should, given their susceptibility to high corruption risk”.

It goes on to state that offsets improperly influence the need for a defence acquisition, influence the finalisation of main contract in non transparent ways and allows favours to be repaid to corrupt personnel via the offset contracts.

Whether offsets are good or bad depends on the industrial capability of the country and its capacity to leverage the buying power to obtain non-existent/ deficient technologies in the defence sector.

One of the best offset packages concerns South Korea which not only obtained co-production rights of the F-16 aircraft, but also enabled co-development of KTX-2 advanced trainer with help from Lockheed Martin. However, Indonesia’s attempt of creating an indigenous military and civilian aircraft industry reportedly crashed in the wake of the 1997 East Asian financial crisis, and represents the other side.

The costs of procurement contracts involving offsets are always higher.

The fact that vested interests may resort to foreign imports driven more by offsets rather than actual needs make offsets susceptible to corrupt practices. Further, the methodology adopted/ involved in valuation of technology transfer which relies on approximations tends to question the effectiveness of such transactions. Finally, there is no clear system of ensuring complete discharge of offsets to realise the full benefit of extra costs which puts a question mark on their efficacy. All these factors tend to make a case against seeking or demanding offsets.

Therefore, to derive the intended benefits from offsets, there must be a cost benefit analysis to check their viability and that they actually fulfil our needs/ requirements. Then there should be an efficient and transparent process of valuation as well as an effective implementation strategy. Once these are ensured, there is every chance of such offset requirements having a positive effect and attainment of stated objectives.

Offsets in the Indian context

India has been practicing offsets in an indirect manner using licensed production under transfer of technology (ToT). The official Offset policy has been introduced in the Indian Defence Procurement Procedure only in 2005. Many lament the fact that it has not really made much difference to our indigenous efforts. In order to make offsets credible, the policy must have an overarching aim, measurable objectives, simple and clear guidelines which are easy to interpret and finally state upfront one’s requirements with each and every offset contract.

The present policy does not have any of these principles and leaves it entirely to the seller to decide what to offer as offsets. This, and an absence of implementation strategy, are the main reasons for not achieving any significant gains through offsets so far.

So, if we want offsets to work there is a need to state the aim and objectives, articulate clear and unambiguous policy guidelines, provide adequate avenues for both sides to benefit from offset transactions, craft a well defined implementation strategy to direct offsets in to areas of our interest, make provisions for building long lasting relationships, establish single point authority and finally ensure ways and means of seeking upfront what are needed through offsets.

We must also learn from other countries’ experience and must not attempt to develop the entire range of defence industry. First and foremost, we must carry out a mapping of the defence technologies available/ deficient in the country. Thereafter, efforts must be made to direct investments in terms of technology and knowhow so as to develop the manufacturing base whose output should adequately cater to the needs of our Armed Forces.

This should be followed up with an endeavour to build upon the knowledge acquired through enhanced stress on R&D so as to develop indigenous capabilities for the future requirements. There are only a few countries which can afford to build everything in their own country.

So instead of attempting complete self-reliance across the board, we must target specific areas that are of strategic importance and make all out attempts to develop them.

Some Policy prescriptions

India is lagging way behind all the developed countries in terms of technologies and their application in defence.

Therefore, taking into account that industrial participation holds the key to developing indigenous defence industry, we must leverage our buying power to ensure implementation of this crucial aspect. FDI in defence as part of offsets must be utilised to attract foreign manufacturers to set up JVs/ subsidiaries in India.

Many of the reputed manufacturers are averse to setting up industries in India due to issues of management control as well as secrecy of technologies involved. If we want to procure defence systems/ equipment involving critical/ dual use technologies from sources within the country then we must create the necessary environment for the same by enhancing the present FDI cap of 26%, waiver of taxes etc. for a certain period, assure procurements in case the local content exceeds a certain percentage and allow the foreign entity to retain management control.

This will allow for the growth of connected ancillary industry in the form of SMEs and added benefits of quality and reliability of the products.

The threshold/quantum is the contract value at which offsets become applicable and the percentage denotes the level of obligation – both of which play an important role in the offset policy of a country.

There are countries which have as low a threshold as $100,000 and those whose percentage is more than 100% of the value of the contract. India has one of the highest thresholds at around $65 million and one of the lowest percentages of 30%. There is certainly a need to align our requirements with the average values which correspond to around $10 million and 70-80% of the contract value.

Further, everyone invariably states the required percentage of obligations that need to be discharged through direct and indirect offsets. Incorporating such provisions not only helps in clarity in the entire process but would also enable development of the defence industry and technical infrastructure at a faster pace.

Notably, when offsets were first introduced, they were mainly targeted at direct purchase/ providing export avenues for defence goods and services produced by the Indian industry.

However, the Indian defence industry which consisted of Ordnance factories and DPSUs did not offer adequate scope for discharge of the obligations. Increasing the number of avenues for discharging the offset obligations would enhance the chances of enabling a vendor meet the requirements over a wider spectrum. The present list of goods and services relating to defence, civil aerospace and internal security as eligible avenues can certainly be enhanced to cover a wider range of offset transactions.

Further, multipliers which indicate the need/ importance of a specific offset activity need to be introduced in the policy to give it the necessary direction for development of the indigenous defence capabilities.

How to make offsets work

Banking of offsets is a good tool that can be utilised to develop the defence industry through proper channelling and coordination. Foreign manufacturers must be incentivised to invest in Indian industry or R&D, even without waiting for participation in any particular contract.

This can be achieved by enabling build-up of offset credits and even inter-OEM trade, limiting that though to only those participating in various defence acquisitions. Such tradable offset credits could be utilised by the vendors to fulfil indirect obligations completely thereby leaving only direct offsets to be negotiated with each procurement contract. The attendant benefits of this provision include conclusion of procurement contracts without being held hostage by offset requirements as well as complete discharge of offset obligations without resorting to penalties.

In order to build long term relationships to boost the Indian defence industry through offsets, we must allow realistic timelines for implementation of offset obligations. Discharging offset obligations is a time consuming and tedious process for a vendor because he has to manage constraints like time, finding competent partners and meeting deadlines associated with the main contract.

There is a need to decouple the requirement of discharging the offset obligations coterminous with the main procurement contract by providing longer timelines which should enable both sides to discharge and accept obligations to mutual advantage.

Multipliers are generally used to denote the importance assigned to a particular transaction due to its strategic value to the buyer. It also indicates the enhanced value of a transaction in terms of credit to the seller in relation to the actual investment made.

A majority of countries use multipliers to acquire technology and give enhanced credits for investments in R&D. This has not been practiced by India thus far and could be utilised judiciously to develop important areas of industry, SMEs in particular, and to obtain deficient technologies. In order to discourage investments in already developed sectors, such sectors/ activities should be deleted from the approved list at regular intervals or multiplier values less than one should be assigned to them.

Import of equipment/ systems entails huge expenditure and must be justified not only by their necessity but also through optimal exploitation across their lifecycle.

A drawback of imports is the dependence on the vendor for logistic and maintenance support. Therefore, when importing weapon systems/ equipment, direct offsets should be used for development of local industry to ensure uninterrupted availability of spares as well as acquiring the technical infrastructure and know-how for maintenance purposes. Efforts should also be made to acquire technologies and know-how to overcome the deficiencies/ voids in the industry/ R&D so as to avoid recurrent imports of the same or similar systems.

Boosting Indian R&D

Even after six decades of the establishment of DRDO as well as a myriad DPSUs and Ordnance factories in an endeavour to accomplish the objective of self-reliance in defence, India is nowhere close to equipping the Armed Forces with advanced indigenous weapon system.

Huge sums of money have been spent in their creation and great efforts have been made to build them up with regular doses of transfer of technology to undertake licensed production of major weapons as well as platforms like T-72, T-90, MiG-21, MiG-30, Jaguar etc. However, these entities have neither been able to master the acquired technologies nor proved themselves capable of building upon the inducted technologies, thereby necessitating ToT with every major acquisition.

Worse still, there has been no attempt to audit and check the impact of the acquired ToT on our industrial capabilities. We could learn from the Westland Aircraft Company of UK which entered the helicopter field through a licensed production agreement with Sikorsky and went on to develop its independent design and development capability which enabled it to produce the Lynx as well as the EH 101 Merlin helicopter all by itself.

So, in order to ensure that ToT contributes effectively in enhancing our self-reliance endeavours, we must acquire the relevant know-how for the development of our defence industry and know-why for defence R&D with each technology transfer.

There is an urgent need to enhance the R&D capabilities of the industry and enable wider participation of other S&T as well as academic institutions in addressing our defence needs. Assigning suitable multipliers to different categories of technology transfer so as to make them economically attractive and participation in collaborative research projects would give a fillip to defence R&D across the industry as well as DRDO.

Conclusion

Offsets may be costly in the initial stages but can be turned into profitable activities with correct application of one’s needs. It is inevitable that the vendor builds in his additional costs for discharging offset obligations.

The payment of such additional costs would be justified only when we can (i) Enhance our manufacturing capacities/ capabilities in defence industry; (ii) Make progress in critical areas of R&D; (iii) Encourage innovative solutions for optimal exploitation, maintenance and modernisation of systems/ equipment that are in service or under procurement; (iv) Enhance awareness of defence technology needs and the necessity of participation of S&T institutions/ academia in the national interest; (v) Minimize the differential between imports and exports; and (vi) Procure majority of defence equipment from Indian companies or JVs with foreign OEMs.

It must also be borne in mind that mere requirement of offsets without proper policy guidelines, objectives, a good implementation strategy and a responsible organisation representing single point accountability would be more of a liability than an asset in our quest for self-reliance.

We cannot expect to match the capabilities of major developed nations unless we enunciate a comprehensive strategy that strives to develop various disciplines/ sectors in a time-bound manner. We must identify those areas that are strategically important from the view of denial regimes or sanctions in times of war and aim to develop them in our national interests. In all other sectors we must not waste precious resources but procure the items from competitive sources.

In order to sustain the developed industry we may need to establish export markets by suitable policy guidelines as well as political arrangements.

Finally, due consideration must be given to the huge amounts of money expected to be spent over the next 10 years in defence imports and efforts made to plough back as much as possible into developing our indigenous industry.

Brazilian Defence Minister Nelson Jobim says it well: “Whatever the final contract, it must be closely linked to national development, to help advance in the creation of a strong defense industry and therefore the technological edge we are requesting.”

That is true for India too. Cmde S Govind is presently serving in HQ-IDS.

The views expressed here are personal do not reflect the official position of the Ministry of Defence or this publication.

 
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