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"While global warming will have common effect
of more pressure on the logistics and increased
wear and tear of weapons, it will also have force-specific
impact. The government needs to involve armed
forces in studying its reasons and impact,"
a senior armed forces official told IANS, requesting
anonymity.
The Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau which have
large-scale military presence are among the areas
most susceptible to climate change effects. The
rapid melting of glaciers in the region would
call for new deployment plans for the Indian Army
manning the Siachen Glacier.
"Demilitarisation of the Siachen Glacier
is out of question; so, its accelerated meltdown
will call for coming out with a new deployment
plan," said a senior Indian Army official,
wishing to remain unnamed as he was not authorised
to speak to the media.
The Indian and Pakistani forces have been standing
eyeball to eyeball since 1984 at the Siachen Glacier,
the world's highest battlefield at 22,000 feet,
where guns have been silent since a ceasefire
in 2003.
Occupying the 76-km-long glacier, which has been
melting faster due to global warming, is a huge
logistic exercise for the Indians particularly
due to the steep terrain and the changing climate
will only increase the pressure on logistics.
According to a recent study "Security Implications
of Climate Change for India" published by
think tank Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses
(IDSA), artillery gun platforms in the high altitude
region that have become ice pillars would melt
rapidly, making redeployment "a necessary
but demanding task".
"Unexpected melting (in the Himalayan region)
would make troop movements extremely dangerous
and the dumping zones and (makeshift) helipads
may crumble with rapid snowmelt," the report
says.
"Besides triggering flash floods and a slew
of disasters downstream, the melting would also
result in severing of communication lines,"
the army official added.
The Indian Navy is also concerned about the way
changed climate patterns will shape the Indian
Ocean region, creating issues of maritime boundaries,
exclusive economic zone, port operations, shallow
water operations for submarines and naval tactics.
"Climate change will alter the battlefields
with rising water level submerging low-lying islands,
the change in water temperature of a place affecting
the sea flora and fauna and also affecting the
deployment tactics for submarines," said
a senior official of the Indian Navy.
"The melting of snow in the Arctic Ocean
may benefit China by giving them access to the
Pacific Ocean and to warm ports," he added.
The Indian and Chinese navies have been trying
to outdo each other for greater influence in the
Indian Ocean Region (IOR), which is of utmost
strategic importance to them for security of energy
supplies. Climate change will also change the
dynamics of the IOR.
"Take the example of the Maldives, a low-lying
small island ecosystem. It is vulnerable to climate
change and may be submerged due to rising sea
level. Given the friendly bilateral relations
between India and the Maldives, in all likelihood
India will have to absorb many of the displaced
Maldivians," the official added.
Military aviation will also be affected by the
change in climate patterns as the performance
of the aerial platforms and munitions varies with
weather conditions.
Weather support is critical for all aerial operations,
reconnaissance, para-dropping missions, transport
operations, search and rescue and combating. Climate
change is predicted to increase the severity and
frequency of extreme weather events such as storms,
which will have their effect on aviation.
(IANS)
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