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FOREIGN AFFAIRS

The World spends “A Hundred Dollars for War, One Dollar for Peace”- UN Report

By R Anil Kumar

New York/ Bengaluru, June 30, 2026. At the United Nations launch of the inaugural Peacebuilding Overview Report during Peacebuilding Week, one figure stood out: the world spends one dollar on peace for every hundred dollars it spends on the military.

Peacebuilding Overview Report: United Nations.

That imbalance has persisted for two decades. It is not an accident. It is what happens when military spending is treated as necessary and peacebuilding as optional.

The launch event, framed around the theme “Investing in Peace When the World Pays for War,” introduced the first report in a new Peacebuilding Overview series, Building Peace in a Changing World.

It arrives when the need for peacebuilding is rising and the political appetite for funding it is falling. Conflicts are at their highest number since systematic data collection began.

According to the Report, nearly two billion people now live in countries affected by fragility, conflict, or violence. At the same time, the money available to help societies prevent violence, recover from war, and rebuild trust is shrinking.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development reports that official development assistance fell by 23.1 per cent in 2025, the largest annual contraction on record. Peacebuilding has been hit particularly hard. Its share of aid to the most fragile countries has fallen from 12 per cent to 7 per cent since 2020, the lowest level since 2006.

Across the world, violence is rising while investment in prevention is falling.

The launch was not short of bad news. But its most important message was that the case for peacebuilding is no longer only moral or aspirational. It is increasingly backed by evidence about what prevention can save and what war costs.

The International Monetary Fund has found that a dollar spent on preventive policy in a country with a recent history of violence can return as much as $103. The World Bank has put the potential savings from conflict prevention at tens of billions of dollars each year.

These findings should matter to security policy. Yet they have not changed budgetary behaviour. Defence budgets grow. Humanitarian appeals struggle. Peacebuilding remains too often treated as discretionary or secondary.

Part of the problem lies in the way peacebuilding has been asked to defend itself. Humanitarian agencies can say how many people need food, shelter, or medical care, and where. Development economists can point to poverty data, health indicators, and decades of evaluation. Peacebuilders face a harder task. They are asked to show the violence that did not happen, the election that did not collapse, the local dispute that did not become a wider conflict.

That is difficult to measure. But it is not impossible.

The Peacebuilding Overview is most persuasive when it is honest about this evidence gap. It does not pretend that peacebuilding has already solved the problem of proving its value. Instead, it points to the need for a more serious evidence infrastructure: one that can show what works, where, why, and at what cost, without reducing peace to a narrow set of donor-friendly indicators.

There are encouraging signs that the Report highlights. In Guatemala’s Polochic Valley, Peacebuilding Fund-supported work on agrarian conflict has been rigorously evaluated using household survey data and counterfactual analysis. In Kenya, early warning and response networks have been shown to contribute to mitigating the risk of electoral violence. In Borno State, Nigeria, reintegration programmes for former combatants are being tracked with a seriousness normally reserved for large peace operations.

These examples matter because they challenge a damaging misconception that treats peacebuilding as a sentimental alternative to hard security. Done well, it functions as hard security by other means: the slow work of reducing the probability that political grievance, social exclusion, trauma, criminality, and state weakness will again become organised violence.

But evidence alone will not solve the financing problem. The Peacebuilding Fund received an important breakthrough when the General Assembly, for the first time, agreed to provide it with 50 million dollars a year in assessed contributions starting in 2025. That decision deserves recognition: it gives the Fund a measure of predictability in a system long dependent on unpredictable voluntary funding.

But the scale remains almost absurd. Fifty million dollars is real money in a village or a fragile political transition, but against world military expenditure, measured in trillions, it is rounding error. The guaranteed contribution to the Peacebuilding Fund is therefore both a victory and a warning: it shows that Member States can create reliable financing when they choose to, and how little they have so far chosen to do.

More money is clearly needed, but the deeper challenge is to change what counts as security investment.

A country emerging from war needs more than a ceasefire or a new security force. It needs confidence that local disputes can be settled without violence, that young people have alternatives to armed groups, and that women can participate safely in public life.

These outcomes are political, social, and economic. They require time that one-year projects designed to satisfy donor reporting cycles cannot provide.

Three shifts are needed now. Donors should provide predictable, multi-year peacebuilding finance, especially as peacekeeping missions draw down.

The United Nations should invest in common data and evaluation systems, including initiatives such as PeaceFIELD, the Peacebuilding Fund’s Impact-Evaluation and Learning Initiative, so national actors can generate credible evidence on what works, for whom, and under what conditions.

And Member States should stop treating peacebuilding as an optional add-on to humanitarian assistance or security policy.

Humanitarian assistance saves lives after violence has taken its toll. Peacebuilding is meant to reduce the likelihood that such assistance will be needed in the first place.

The dangers that matter are not only the wars already under way. They are also the conflicts that can still be prevented before they become wars.

There is nothing fixed about a world that spends a hundred dollars on war for every dollar it spends on peace. That imbalance is the result of treating peacebuilding as an afterthought rather than as a core security investment. Governments created it through their budget choices. They can change it, if they are prepared to fund peace with the seriousness they already bring to preparing for war.

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